France is grappling with a major political crisis following the dramatic ousting of Prime Minister François Bayrou in a no-confidence vote within the National Assembly. The vote, resulting in a resounding defeat of 364 to 194, marks a significant blow to President Emmanuel Macron and plunges the nation into its fifth prime ministerial change in under two years. This unprecedented instability underscores the deep divisions and growing disillusionment plaguing Macron's second term.
Bayrou's downfall stemmed from a crucial confidence debate centered around France's staggering 3.4 trillion euro national debt. Throughout the summer, Bayrou had issued stark warnings about the existential threat posed by this burgeoning liability, utilizing speeches, interviews, and social media to galvanize support for fiscal reform. However, his efforts proved futile. Lacking a stable majority in the National Assembly, Bayrou found himself facing a united front of opposition from both the left and the hard-right, sealing his political fate.
The immediate aftermath leaves President Macron facing a critical decision on his next prime ministerial appointment. Speculation abounds regarding the potential for a left-leaning prime minister, a strategy that might appear logical after the failures of appointing conservatives and centrists. However, the Socialist Party (PS) has openly stated its intention to completely break from Macron's pro-business agenda, making this scenario less likely.
Therefore, Macron is more likely to initially explore options within his own political camp. Names currently circulating as potential successors include Defence Minister Sébastien Lecornu, Labour Minister Catherine Vautrin, and Finance Minister Eric Lombard. The coming days will be pivotal in determining the future direction of French politics and the stability of Macron's presidency in the face of this unprecedented challenge.
---
Originally published at: https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c5yqgnzw759t
